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- š³ļøWhat's the Difference Between Polymarket and National Election Polls?
š³ļøWhat's the Difference Between Polymarket and National Election Polls?
Plus: Polymarket User Briefly Tanks Polymarket Order Book
Prediction Pulse
October 29, 2024
š°Market Update
1 Week Until Election: Trump Sustains Record Lead, National Polls Show a Tight Race
Trump's odds just set another all-time high against Kamala Harris.
š„ Trump ā¢ 66.7% chance
š Harris ā¢ 33.3% chanceā Polymarket (@Polymarket)
5:21 PM ā¢ Oct 29, 2024
National polls show a more balanced story - 538ās election forecast shows Trump leading, but not by much.
On Polymarket, Trump leads all major swing states. Michigan is currently the closest race. Trump surpassed 40% odds of winning the popular vote.
Polymarket User Accidentally Shifts Trumpās YES Odds to 100%
A wallet moved $3,000,000 to Polymarket today and put it all immediately on "YES" for Trump.
His only issue: he cleared the whole order book and bought $274,300 worth of shares at 99.7%.
ā Stats (@punk9059)
1:21 AM ā¢ Oct 25, 2024
Polymarket User Approaches $30M Betting on Trump
NEW: French trader bets over $28 million on Trump to win the 2024 election on political betting platform Polymrket, according to CNBC.
Polymarket confirms one of the large "whales" on the platform is an experienced French trader.
The French national reportedly has "extensiveā¦ x.com/i/web/status/1ā¦
ā Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg)
6:29 PM ā¢ Oct 24, 2024
šTrending Markets
After the Ravens lost to the Browns on Sunday, Josh Allen has overtaken Lamar Jackson in the NFL MVP race.
āØNew Markets
There are currently five new mention markets for Trump rallies in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and two in Wisconsin.
