📰Market Update

Harris Extends Lead Going into DNC

As of this morning, Harris is 9 points ahead of Trump. The Democratic National Convention begins Monday in Chicago.

Rumors of Trump Potentially Firing Campaign Managers Go Viral

After rumors surfaced that Trump was unhappy with his campaign managers, a Polymarket spun up with odds of a firing reaching nearly 60%. The odds have since declined, now sitting closer to 50/50.

Top Polymarket Trader’s Biggest Holdings

Polymarket user 50-Pence has traded over $100M in volume and is currently ranked #2 in all-time profit.

Here are this trader’s largest bets. Both the 2024 Balance of Power and the Electoral College victory margin are still quite undervalued - the market doesn’t necessarily agree with 50-Pence at this time.

📈Trending Markets

The Harris campaign made a statement yesterday on a Presidential Debate schedule. The campaign team agreed to 3 total debates - two presidential and one vice presidential. Polymarket odds of two debates jumped after the release.

✨New Markets

The LIV Greenbrier Golf Tournament starts today, expect volume to pick up on the Greenbrier market.

💎Our Picks This Week

In the 2020 election, Biden snuck out a win in the state of Georgia. Harris appears to be more popular than Biden in the state.

The day Biden dropped out, Georgia was priced at $0.24. The market appears confident that Kamala has a better chance than Biden, with odds doubling in the last month.

We believe the market is still too optimistic on Georgia turning red. We’ll take YES on Democrats winning Georgia this November.