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- 🗳️ Harris Steals Key Swing State
🗳️ Harris Steals Key Swing State
Plus: Prediction Market User Throws Down $800k
📰Market Update
Nevada Turning Blue?
As of this morning, Kamala Harris’ odds of winning Nevada surpassed 50% - Trump had been the favorite to win for over a month.
Kamala Harris just flipped Nevada.
— Polymarket (@Polymarket)
2:55 PM • Sep 20, 2024
Kamala pulled ahead on another key state: Pennsylvania. Click here to see the full Election Forecast.
Big Predictors Are Making Moves
Polymarket user liuda1991 put down over $800,000 in eight hours, betting on a Kamala Harris presidential victory.
Someone dropped 400k, went to bed then doubled down in the AM 👀
— UMA 🥚 (@UMAprotocol)
3:32 PM • Sep 19, 2024
Nearly All Economists Were Wrong on Key Market
Thanks to Prediction Markets, users had a leg up on where the Federal Reserve was going to take interest rates.
92% of economists were wrong. In contrast, more than half (52%) on Polymarket were right. Wisdom of crowds beating the "experts."
— Juan Leon (@singularity7x)
7:40 PM • Sep 18, 2024
📈Trending Markets
The Dodgers are the favorite to win the World Series, although it’s close: the Yankees and Phillies aren’t far behind.
✨New Markets
We’re a month out from Canadian Provincial General Elections - the Democratic & Conservative parties are very close in British Columbia.
💎Our Pick This Week
The movie Gladiator won five Academy Awards in 2000, and to this day is still widely considered to be an all-time great movie.
The sequel is coming. It’s scheduled for November 24th. Ridley Scott is directing the movie, as he did for the original. Denzel Washington will be starring alongside Pedro Pascal and even one of the original Gladiator actors.
While it certainly looks like the movie will be quite successful, expectations are extremely high given the quality of the original. We believe topping the original Gladiator movie will be difficult for the sequel, and we do not believe the movie will be able to live up to expectations.
We’ll take NO on a Rotten Tomatoes score above 79 - we believe it will be lower than the original Gladiator score, for a potential 150% gain.
