- Prediction Pulse
- Posts
- 🗳️The Front Page: How a Speculator Made $40M
🗳️The Front Page: How a Speculator Made $40M
Plus a new tool to spot prediction whales
Prediction Pulse
November 12, 2024
📰Market Update
Election Day has come and gone, and with the Trump administration set to take over in January, there is one election market remaining: who will be inaugurated as President?
Trump is trading at just 95% to be inaugurated on Polymarket…
This is essentially a market for if Trump will be assassinated before he takes office on January 20th. 1/20 odds.
— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital)
5:26 PM • Nov 12, 2024
Front page markets include whether or not Biden will finish his term, when the Ukraine war might end, and if Elon will get a Cabinet position.
How A Polymarket Trader Walked Away with $49M
so the french guy who yolo’d $30m on trump on polymarket noticed polls asking “who are your neighbors voting for?” instead of “who are you voting for?” had trump overperforming.
so he commissioned his own poll to confirm.
$49m profit in a week.
— Siqi Chen (@blader)
3:34 AM • Nov 7, 2024
Brand New Tool: Get Insights on Polymarket’s Top Traders
Excited to launch something I've been building for the last few months just in time for the election...
•Discover predictions from profitable traders.
•Find hidden opportunities & outliers.
•Tail any bet with one click.Beat the polymarket, with thorp.aix.com/i/web/status/1…
— Luke Martin (@VentureCoinist)
4:02 PM • Nov 5, 2024
📈Trending Markets
Sport markets are very popular at the moment, with over $1B in volume between the NFL, NBA and Champions League markets. The price of Bitcoin in November is also being speculated on after a crypto explosion post election.
✨New Markets
The Irish General Election is November 29th and will decide the next Prime Minister. Simon Harris has a solid lead over Micheál Martin.
