📰Market Update

How to Improve Your Forecasting Skills

Are you missing predictions that feel obvious in hindsight? Here’s your solution:

The PoliticalOdds subreddit gives you early access to critical events before they go mainstream. Whether you're new to forecasting or experienced, this community is packed with experts & beginners, all sharing insights to inform your predictions.

The last three posts in the subreddit were huge winners—predictors who followed them doubled their money, or more, on each prediction.

Join the community to get exclusive market data and expert strategies that elevate you from the crowd.

Trump Inches Closer

Earlier this week, Kamala was as much as 5 points ahead of Trump. That gap closed and is now within 2 points.

Kamala maintains her lead in Nevada and Pennsylvania. Click here to see the full Election Forecast.

Election Odds in Your Pocket: Polymarket Releases Election App

📈Trending Markets

Manchester City and Arsenal are the favorites to win the Premier League, with Liverpool a distant 3rd.

✨New Markets

Kamala is giving a speech in Nevada on Sunday. Here’s what predictors think she’ll say.

💎Our Pick This Week

The Wild Robot is the latest DreamWorks movie. After debuting yesterday, the heartwarming film is already one of the highest reviewed DreamWorks films of all time.

While critic reviews rate the movie as stellar, theaters in the US are seldom packed these days. The movie is projected to gross $24-230M opening weekend. Polymarket predictors believe the movie will perform better than expected.

Here’s the bottom line: It’s a great movie that is expected to play on 3900 screens nationwide, but at a bad time due to continued drops in theater attendance.

We believe Polymarket traders are too optimistic, and expect The Wild Robot to sit firmly within analyst predictions. We’ll take YES on the movie grossing $24-31M opening weekend.