🗳️ WTF is This Polymarket User Doing

Plus: Our Pick for a Potential 78% Gain

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Prediction Pulse
September 24, 2024

📰Market Update

It’s Going to be a Close Race Folks

Kamala leads by a smidge, but is currently leading in two critical states: Nevada and Pennsylvania. Click here to see the full Election Forecast.

Top Polymarket User Makes Strange Prediction

Polymarket user TheGuru is one of Polymarkets top users. This user is ranked #3 in all-time prediction volume, and ranked #15 in all-time profit.

TheGuru is buying up shares in markets that suggest a wild outlook: TheGuru is predicting that someone not Kamala or Trump will win the election.

As of this morning, TheGuru has thrown down nearly $60,000 predicting Michelle Obama, Nikki Haley, or another candidate will win the election.

Does TheGuru know something?

Sentencing Today for FTX Executive

Caroline Ellison was one of the top executives at FTX, a crypto exchange that facilitated one of the largest misappropriations of customer funds of all time.

Her sentencing is today, and predictors believe the most likely outcome is no prison time.

It’s hurricane season, and Kalshi predictors are forecasting what the season might look like.

✨New Markets

Brand new mention market for Zelensky’s UN speech this week.

💎Our Pick This Week

The stock market has had an impressive year, up 34% in the last 365 days. With interest rates coming down, a presidential election and October-December typically being the strongest performance of the year, we’re expecting the stock market to rise further.

The S&P only needs to go 1.2% higher by the end of the year for this market to resolve to yes. We’ll take YES on the S&P being 5,800 or above by December 31st, for a potential 78% gain.

How to capitalize: