šŸ—³ļøRepublicans to Win the Senate?

The Stage is Set for the Big Debate

šŸ“°Market Update

All Eyes on Presidential Debate

In the span of a week, the Polymarket Presidential race widened substantially - from a 1% spread to 8% currently.

Now that the debate rules have been agreed to, Polymarket is buzzing with debate markets. Users are trying to predict what the candidates will say during the debate.

Thereā€™s even a market on who will be asked the first debate question.

Hint: historically, a coin toss is used to determine who is asked the first question. This market should be 50/50 odds.

Odds of Bigger Interest Rate Cut Shoot Up

On Tuesday, we provided evidence that predictors werenā€™t quite right in their estimations of a smaller interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

This prediction has already begun to play out, as the odds have nearly doubled since Tuesday. The market is becoming more confident in a larger interest rate cut.

Polymarket Surges to over $100M in Open Interest

Predictors believe the Republicans will win back the Senate.

āœØNew Markets

Polymarket launches Debate Bingo cards, similar to a Parlay in sports betting.

If what a candidate says matches whatā€™s in the square, it gets filed in. If any row, column or diagonal of 5 squares is completely filled in, the market resolves to Yes.

šŸ’ŽOur Pick This Week

Any hardcore gamers playing Kalshi markets?

The latest trend for many game publishers is to remake once popular games with better graphics, enhanced gameplay and subtle story twists. This trend has been popular with many publishers as evidenced by successful remakes of The Last of Us, several Resident Evil games, and now Silent Hill 2.

Silent Hill 2 was an all-time classic game. We predict players will love playing through this story again, and weā€™ll take YES on the Silent Hill 2 Metacritic Score being 80 or greater.

Get in on this trade - Join Kalshi, the only legal prediction market in the US:

2ļøāƒ£Make your prediction.

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